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OSITIONED
at the very heart of ASEAN, Thailand nurtures ambitions
of being the regional hub for everything from auto manufacture,
energy, transportation, and tourism to food, fashion,
and healthcare.
Since the late 1990s, Thailands story has been
one of recovery from the financial crisis that tamed
the fast-growing tiger economies of Southeast Asia in
1997 and 1998. Now, a fresh impetus is required to ensure
sustainable growth within an increasingly competitive
global market.
Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra aims to provide
the necessary boost by investing billions of dollars
in a series of mega-projects designed to accelerate
the transformation of the nation into a modern, competitive,
knowledge-based economy. And he is looking for help
to do it.
Politically, Mr. Thaksin is in a strong position with
a strong mandate for change. A year ago, an overwhelming
general election victory won him a second term of office
and a huge parliamentary majority for his ruling Thai
Rak Thai party.
Transformation does not come cheap, however. Mr. Thaksins
competitiveness-boosting plans are priced at around
$50 billion.
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THAKSIN
SHINAWATRA
Prime Minister of Thailand
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Money
for the projects will come from the accumulated profits
of state agencies, the governments budget, and
from borrowing. Nevertheless, Mr. Thaksin has vowed
to maintain macro-economic stability and keep the foreign
debt ratio below 50 percent of GDP.
The Prime Minister has taken the unusual step of issuing
a direct invitation to foreign governments and private
investors to participate in the development drive by
bidding for projects. Through its Partnership for Development
scheme, he says, Thailand is ready to make use of research,
talent, knowledge, and technology from all over the
world in its move to modernize.
Around a quarter of the total mega-project investment
will go toward improving mass transit, including a major
expansion of the commuter transport system in the congested
capital, Bangkok. A further 20 percent of the investment
will go toward advancing Thailands objective to
become the transportation hub of the region, by developing
an integrated system of roads, rail, seaports, and airports.
Water resources, public health, and education, especially
in science and technology, are all targeted. Other schemes
will focus on raising competitiveness in the agriculture,
energy, electricity, information and communication technology
(ICT), and tourism sectors.
Meanwhile government policies are focused on liberalization
and free trade. Major state enterprises that Mr. Thaksin
wants to privatize this year include electricity provider
EGAT and, in the telecom sector, the Communications
Authority of Thailand (CAT) and the Telephone Organization
of Thailand (TOT).
Areepong Bhoocha-Oom, Deputy Director General of the
State Enterprise Policy Office (SEPO) says long-term
planning is possible because the country is enjoying
a new era of political stability. Things are able
to move forward because of the continuity and leadership
in the political arena. The private sector is aware
of our long-term direction and is able to plan strategically.
This is what sets us apart from other countries in the
region.
A recent UN Commission for Trade and Development survey
rated Thailand among the top four destinations for foreign
direct investment (FDI). The United States, the kingdoms
second biggest source of FDI after Japan, has $21 billion
invested.
Prospects for growth are much brighter this year after
a slight slowdown last year to around 4.3 percent, from
6.7 percent in 2003 and 6.1 percent in 2004.
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PRIDIYATHORN
DEVAKULA
Governor of the
Bank of Thailand
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Pridiyathorn Devakula, Governor of the Bank of
Thailand, says the economy proved resilient in the face
of a perfect storm that combined soaring
oil prices, a drought, and the aftereffects of the tsunami
of December 2004, all of which checked the growth of
the tourism industry.
Prommin Lertsuridej, Secretary General to the Prime
Minister, draws a similarly positive conclusion. He
says, Since we survived many negative factors
in 2005, our performance in this year will definitely
be better because things will not be as tough.
With exports rising and oil prices hopefully less volatile,
the economy is expected to follow a trend toward robust
growth in South-East Asia this year. GDP is forecast
to rise by 5-6 percent. Exports, which account for 40
percent of GDP, are expected to increase by 17.5 percent,
industry to grow by 20 percent, and agriculture by around
10 percent.
Thanong Bidaya, Minister of Finance, says, The
country will run with an engine of four cylinders: investment,
export and import, government expenditure, and increased
domestic consumption.
The automotive metaphor is well chosen considering the
success of Thailands vehicle manufacturing and
assembling industry, one of its leading export earners.
Producing almost one million vehicles a year, the country
is well on the way to becoming the Detroit of
Asia with virtually every brand being manufactured
or assembled there.
ASEAN has been the cornerstone of Thailands foreign
policy for decades. Regional cooperation is progressing
in economic, trade, banking, political, and cultural
matters. Thailand will lead the ASEAN Secretariat in
2007, after Singapore's current tenure expires.
Thailand has already signed free trade agreements (FTAs)
with Australia, China, and New Zealand, and has also
been negotiating another with Japan.
Nearing completion are negotiations on a comprehensive
FTA with the United States - controversial in Thailand
but crucial to Mr. Thaksins export drive. The
United States is the kingdoms biggest trading
partner. In 2004, trade between the two nations increased
by almost 11 percent to almost $24 billion.
Mr. Thanong says, Free trade with the USA will
be the most difficult one to conclude, but it is necessary.
The objective is to create a win-win situation for both
sides.
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