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FATHI
BEN SHATWAN
Secretary for Energy
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United
World: Could you please give us an overview of Libya's
energy sector?
Mr.
Ben-Shatwan: Libya's energy sector is divided into three
parts: Oil and Gas, Electricity and Renewable resources.
We have eight oil and gas basins that occupy about 1,400,000
km², which is 78% of Libya's land area. We are
currently utilizing 400,000 km² of that area, which
means that we are only a third of the way through discovering
our oil resources. We have so far discovered about 39
billion barrels of oil and about 54 trillion cubic feet
of gas, and studies conducted so far indicate that Libya
potentially has 100 billion barrels of oil reserves.
Two years ago we were producing 1.4 million barrels
a day and today this has risen to 1.7 million b/d. We
hope to increase our production to 2 million barrels
a day by mid-2006 and eventually to 3 million b/d by
2010. In the 1970s, we produced 3.3 million b/d but
we decreased our production due to some obstacles we
faced under the sanctions. We currently are in discussions
with OPEC concerning an increasing in our production
quota based on our historical performance.
With regards to electricity, we are producing nearly
5000 MW and we are going to add another 5000 MW by the
year 2010; the wider plan is to possibly export electricity
to Europe in the future. We think that in the future,
exporting electricity will be a much more coveted resource
and activity than either oil or gas. We are still carrying
out a feasibility study in this regard and if the results
are positive, we will propose our plans to European
countries and take it from there.
Renewable energy is still a new sector here. We have
been carrying out some pilot projects recently and we
are thinking of generating 6% of our energy source in
the future from renewable resources. We have been using
solar energy in our pilot studies, particularly in small
desert towns where it is hard to connect to the electricity
grid. We are also thinking of using hydrogen as a source
of energy, as well as wind farms in certain areas.
We are looking forward to implementing a master plan
that we are currently working on for this sector. This
looks forward to the year 2020. One of our main targets
is increasing our oil production to 3 million b/d by
2010. We are also nearly finished with a new law for
the oil sector, which deals with all the new aspects
of this sector; the old law was from 1955. We have simplified
matters recently by implementing the EPSA IV, the Exploration
and Production Sharing Agreements, which makes oil blocks
open for bidders. There are two reasons why international
oil companies are excited about this process. The first
is that they want to secure energy supply due to the
difficulties this sector is facing in terms of stability
of the market. The second reason is the current price
of oil; at $60 a barrel, it's a profitable business
even if they are bidding for a low production profit
share with us. American companies are very well aware
of Libyan territory; they have a solid past experience,
and they are familiar with our geology. This makes them
strong competitors in the market.
United
World: In your view, what makes Libya an attractive
destination for foreign investors?
Mr.
Ben-Shatwan: Our oil is of a high quality, and our production
costs are low at $1 a barrel. Furthermore, the country
enjoys a high level of stability and security. We are
peaceful people; your average Libyan is able to separate
international politics from the foreign people who come
to our country, they will not automatically associate
one with the other. Furthermore, many foreign investors
are familiar with Libya as an investment destination
from past experience, prior to the embargo period. One
of these returning investors is Occidental, for example,
who just won concessions for 9 oil blocks which, to
put in perspective, is nine times the size of Qatar.
United
World: The rising prices of oil have made headlines
this year. What do you feel is OPEC's role in regulating
oil prices and what role does Libya play in OPEC?
Mr.
Ben-Shatwan: We need to consider things logically. Crude
oil is probably the cheapest liquid in the world; one
liter costs less than a liter of water! We also need
to consider the value of money, rather than the price
of oil; in the past three years, the dollar has lost
about a third of its value. $60 a barrel today is the
equivalent of $40 a barrel three years ago. Therefore,
it really isn't expensive as some would claim. The expense
that people complain about is what they are paying for
fuel, and that is mostly due to taxation. The fluctuation
in prices today is no longer due to simple economic
factors like supply and demand; there are other issues
like security or instability in oil-producing countries
that are influencing supply and demand. Funnily enough,
another reason is the limited capacities of oil refineries
around the world; this is due to reluctance from oil
companies to invest in downstream projects in this sector,
they prefer high profit margins in upstream projects.
This is why we are implementing a strategy in Libya
of "if you want to go upstream, you need to invest
downstream with us as well." It is an important
strategy to contribute to stabilizing prices. Everything
is blamed on OPEC, which is really unjustified; there
are, as I explained a number of factors outside of OPEC's
capacity, which are affecting oil prices.
Today, Libya has a more solid chance of playing a bigger
role in OPEC as our estimated oil reserves rise as a
result of increased oil exploration.
United
World: As a final statement, would you care to send
out an invitation to American investors?
Mr.
Ben-Shatwan: Americans are not strangers to Libya, particularly
the elder generation who were here in the 1950s. Many
still have friends in Libya. A lot of Libyans were educated
in the United States and so the American culture is
not new to us. They're welcome to do business here.
United
World: Thank you very much for your comments.
Mr.
Ben-Shatwan: Thank you.
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