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The Kremlin, now at the center of a full-fledged
market economy.
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USSIAS
economy has seen tremendous growth over the last seven
years. American companies, large and small, have entered
the Russian market, while Russian firms in turn are
on the lookout for opportunities to export or set up
retail operations in the United States.
The
investment climate in Russia has significantly improved
during the Putin years, says Andrew Somers, President
of the American Chamber of Commerce in Russia (AmCham).
Political stability, fiscal discipline, and three
successive years of constant GDP growthincluding
a stunning 6.4% GDP growth for the first quarter of
2003testify to Russias emergence as a strong
investment candidate.
According
to Mr. Somers, American companies operating in the Russian
marketplace are experiencing strong annual growth in
revenues, market share, and profit margins, with the
Russian operations of some U.S. global companies outperforming
all other units worldwide.
He
sees the development of Russias manufacturing
industry and membership of the World Trade Organization,
which he expects by the end of 2004, as absolutely
crucial to Russias long-term economic growth.
Forecasts
for growth have been revised considerably upwards as
a result of oil prices staying high during the first
quarter of the year. Our original forecast was
an increase in GDP of 4.6%, says Arkady Dvorkovich,
Deputy Minister of Economic Development and Trade. Now
it is at least 5.5%, and that is still conservative.
More realistic is 5.8-5.9%.
The
process of economic reform has been speeded up. We
need to act quickly, says Mr. Dvorkovich. This
includes administrative reform and restructuring of
institutions, especially education and science as the
basis for innovation and growth. It also involves the
reform of monopoliesgas and electricity sector
reform.
Valery
Goregliad, First Deputy Chairman of the Council of Federation,
says that Russia needs help to develop sectors with
high potential, such as the aerospace industry and IT,
to increase the volume of its oil refining industry
and develop its infrastructure. We need to modernize
our enterprises to guarantee long-term growth.
According
to Charles Ryan, Chairman of United Financial Group
(UFG), state and legal institutions need to be stronger.
If the structural reform process addresses areas
such as the banking system and the legal system, it
will put in place conditions that will lead to the investment
needed.
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